Research
Cliodynamics, structural-demographic theory, social complexity, cultural evolution, and related fields.
The interdisciplinary study of long-term historical change using explicit theory, quantitative evidence, and mathematical or computational models.
The growth, organization, integration, and fragility of large-scale human societies and their political institutions.
The institutions, norms, and evolutionary processes that support cooperation and coordinated action at increasing social scales.
A theory of recurrent political instability centered on popular immiseration, elite overproduction, and weakening state capacity.
Long-term pressures associated with political violence, revolution, state breakdown, and periods of social disintegration.
The relationship between inequality, elite numbers and competition, wealth concentration, and changes in political stability.
The construction and analysis of comparative historical datasets used to evaluate explanations of long-term social change.
The evolution of cultural practices, institutions, religions, and forms of social organization across human history.
The formation, expansion, integration, contraction, and collapse of states and empires over long historical periods.
Warfare, frontiers, invasion, and organized conflict as forces in political development and long-term historical change.