The Coming Societal Breakdown of America with PeterTurchin

Jason Hartman June 7, 2024 Link

Intro:

Jason welcomes Peter Turchin, a complexity scientist specializing in cliodynamics, accurately predicted in 2010 that the US would face social disintegration around 2020. Cliodynamics combines cultural evolution, economic history, and mathematical modeling to analyze historical processes and predict future trends. Turchin’s models identified elite overproduction—too many elites vying for limited power—as a key factor in societal breakdowns. The resulting competition among elites destabilizes political systems, leading to increased social unrest. Turchin’s insights into the dynamics of wealth and power in societies provide a scientific approach to understanding and potentially mitigating future crises.

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