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Overproduction of Elites and Social Instability A Short Introduction to Cliodynamics ​ A conversation with ​ Peter Turchin Project Leader at the Complexity Science Hub, Vienna ​

Dr. Peter Turchin is Emeritus Professor at the University of Connecticut in the departments of ecology and evolutionary biology, anthropology, and mathematics. He is a project leader at the Complexity Science Hub Vienna and a research associate at the School of Anthropology at the University of Oxford.…

Why do civilizations rise, prosper, and then collapse? Here's what the math tells us. In this episode, we sit down with Peter Turchin, complexity scientist and founder of the field of cliodynamics, which uses data and mathematical models to study the long-term cycles of history.…

The first few months of the new year have brought a cacophony of political news and power plays, bringing with it an uproar of public outrage in the United States and around the world.…

Peter Turchin, Emeritus Professor at the University of Connecticut and Research Associate at the University of Oxford, discusses the next "revolution" that the U.S. is about to witness.

Jason welcomes Peter Turchin, a complexity scientist specializing in cliodynamics, accurately predicted in 2010 that the US would face social disintegration around 2020. Cliodynamics combines cultural evolution, economic history, and mathematical modeling to analyze historical processes and predict future trends.…

The lessons of world history are clear, Turchin argues: when the equilibrium between ruling elites and the majority tips too far in favour of elites, political instability is all but inevitable.…

Scientist-turned-historian Peter Turchin returns! Peter first came on the pod a few months ago to discuss the famous prediction he made in 2010 that we were headed for crisis, circa 2020.…

Peter Turchin, author of End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, joins The Realignment. Peter and Marshall discuss his 2010 prediction that the U.S.…

Peter Turchin is a social scientist at the University of Connecticut who studies the math of social integration and disintegration. Peter created the field of Cliodynamics and delves into how he predicts the trajectory of social cohesion based on historical data from 200 societies, why elite overproduction is bad, and how we can avoid disaster by learning…

I talked to scientist historian Peter Turchin about his latest Book: End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration. Peter developed a new scientific discipline called cliodynamics which rely on historical data to analyze and predict the rise and falls of large complex societies.…

History is not just one thing after another. Historians spend lifetimes figuring out how X event in medieval France impacted Y event in 20th century Polynesia - but none of these historians have truly 'done the math' like this week's guest. Coming from a background in applied mathematics, Peter Turchin has gathered an unprecedented amount of historical…

Peter Turchin is a scientist and author of End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites and the Path of Political Disintegration. He joins Oli for a chat outlining the signifiers of a failed state and collapsing society, the triggers for mass revolution and how to prevent them.

What leads to political turbulence and social breakdown? Is there any way to stop history repeating itself today? Peter Turchin has mined 10,000 years of data to find the answer. Peter Turchin has pioneered a new science of making history predictable - by applying methods that had already succeeded in other complex fields.…

Peter Turchin has continued the work of Ibn Khaldun, by elaborating upon Khaldun's hypotheses and testing them against the wealth of historical data that we now possess.…

Scientist-turned-historian Peter Turchin is best known for a dire prediction he made in 2010: we were headed for serious unrest, circa 2020. Peter came to this (as-so-happened) accurate prediction by treating the soft science of history like a hard one — what he calls cliodynamics.…

¿El año 2021 mejorará? ¿Habrá crisis económica? ¿Cuáles cambios se verán definidos? Te contamos lo que sabemos sobre las nuevas 'predicciones' científicas del 'Nostradamus de la historia'.

Think your society will last forever? That's what the Cahokians, the Romans, and the Mayans thought, too. Peter talks to NowThis about the possibility of future social instability and political violence in the United States