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Articles about Peter Turchin, interviews, podcasts, videos, and published reviews.

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20052026
20052026

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MediaPodcast · Video

Peter Turchin: The Collapse of Complex Societies, Elite Overproduction, and Social Unrest

Dec 12, 2025The Dissenter

Dr. Peter Turchin is Emeritus Professor at the University of Connecticut in the departments of ecology and evolutionary biology, anthropology, and mathematics. He is a project leader at the Complexity Science Hub Vienna and a research associate at the School of Anthropology at the University of Oxford.…

Structural-Demographic TheorySocial Complexity
MediaPodcast · Video

Can We Predict History like the Weather? | Peter Turchin on Cliodynamics and Zohran Mamdani

Nov 4, 2025

Why do civilizations rise, prosper, and then collapse? Here's what the math tells us. In this episode, we sit down with Peter Turchin, complexity scientist and founder of the field of cliodynamics, which uses data and mathematical models to study the long-term cycles of history.…

632nmCliodynamicsStructural-Demographic Theory
MediaPodcast · 45 min

History’s Sobering Warning About America’s Future

Nov 20, 2024Sommer Saadi and Stephanie Flanders

On this week’s Voternomics, author Peter Turchin explains why Donald Trump’s return isn’t a surprise, and what it represents.

BloombergStructural-Demographic TheoryPolitical Instability
MediaInterview · Podcast · 1 hr 23 min

“Estados Unidos va hacia una guerra civil. Quizá ya sea tarde para evitarlo”: Peter Turchin (Spanish)

May 12, 2024Blas Moreno

Peter Turchin, académico especializado en el análisis de procesos históricos, cree que Estados Unidos se encamina al desastre. Hasta hace pocos años, que Estados Unidos pueda vivir una nueva guerra civil parecía solo una hipótesis académica. Ya no. La creciente tensión en el país hace que suene cada vez más verosímil.…

El Orden MundialPolitical Instability

Why Societies Fall Apart (And Why the US May Be Next) — Peter Turchin

MediaPodcast
External
Sep 1, 2023Joseph Walker

Peter Turchin is a complexity scientist and one of the founders of cliodynamics — a new, cross-disciplinary field that applies mathematics and big data to test historical theories.

The Joe Walker PodcastCliodynamicsSocial Complexity
MediaPodcast · 1 hr 15 min

Are We Living Through 'End Times'?

Jul 19, 2023

Peter Turchin is not like most historians. For starters, he has an unusual background as an evolutionary biologist studying lemmings and mice. He says that analyzing the complexities of the natural world has allowed him to understand the most complex system of all: human society.…

Honestly with Bari WeissPolitical InstabilityStructural-Demographic Theory

"End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration" by Peter Turchin

MediaPodcast
External
Jul 17, 2023Joe Donahue

Peter Turchin is Project Leader at the Complexity Science Hub in Vienna, Research Associate at University of Oxford, and Emeritus Professor at the University of Connecticut. Trained as a theoretical biologist, he is now working in the field of historical social science.…

WAMCStructural-Demographic TheoryElites and Inequality
MediaPodcast · Video

A Huge Outpouring of Human Misery (w/ Peter Turchin)

Jul 8, 2023

Scientist-turned-historian Peter Turchin returns! Peter first came on the pod a few months ago to discuss the famous prediction he made in 2010 that we were headed for crisis, circa 2020.…

Uncertain ThingsStructural-Demographic TheoryPolitical Instability
MediaPodcast · 1 hr 16 min

EP 190 Peter Turchin on Cliodynamics and End Times

Jul 6, 2023

Jim talks with Peter Turchin about the field he founded, cliodynamics, which applies the scientific method to history. They discuss the meaning & origins of cliodynamics, distinguishing cliodynamics from previous approaches, regularizing historical data, the interface between models & data, average height as a proxy for biological well-being, the Seshat…

The Jim Rutt ShowStructural-Demographic TheoryElites and Inequality
MediaPodcast
External

Why the Rise of ‘Counter-Elites’ Spells Bad News for the UK

Jun 30, 2023Sommer Saadi, Merryn Webb

Peter Turchin joins Merryn Talks Money to discuss his book End Times, a look at how income inequality surges when the balance of power favors the elites. The idea that history is cyclical is hardly new. But exactly what drives those cycles is up for debate.…

BloombergElites and InequalityStructural-Demographic Theory
MediaPodcast

Are we overproducing elites and instability?

Jun 29, 2023Matt Grossmann

High levels of political violence and low levels of institutional support suggest we are in the midst of an age of discord. What can we learn from the cycles of history about political disintegration and recovery? Peter Turchin predicted the tumult.…

Niskanen CenterPolitical InstabilityElites and Inequality

Peter Turchin Wants to Avoid Political Disintegration

MediaPodcast
External
Jun 13, 2023

If you have grown up in a household which had decent quality of life and now you are struggling, you cannot even match the degree of wellbeing that your parents achieved, this is very obvious and makes people feel completely dissatisfied with the system that we have now. Over the past few years scholars have warned about a crisis of democracy.…

democracyparadoxblogPolitical InstabilityStructural-Demographic Theory

Peter Turchin: End Times

MediaPodcast
External
Jun 7, 2023Sam Leith

In this week’s Book Club podcast I talk to Peter Turchin about his new book End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites and the Path of Political Disintegration. He proposes a scientific theory of history, mapping the underlying forces that have led to the collapse of states from the ancient world to the present day, and warns of very turbulent times ahead indeed.

The SpecatorStructural-Demographic TheoryPolitical Instability
MediaPodcast · Video

Peter Turchin: Why Empires Rise & Fall

Apr 26, 2023

Peter Turchin has continued the work of Ibn Khaldun, by elaborating upon Khaldun's hypotheses and testing them against the wealth of historical data that we now possess.…

The Nietzsche PodcastStates and EmpiresCliodynamics
MediaPodcast · Video

The Coming Collapse (w/ Peter Turchin)

Feb 11, 2023

Scientist-turned-historian Peter Turchin is best known for a dire prediction he made in 2010: we were headed for serious unrest, circa 2020. Peter came to this (as-so-happened) accurate prediction by treating the soft science of history like a hard one — what he calls cliodynamics.…

Uncertain ThingsPolitical InstabilityCliodynamics
MediaPodcast · Video

The Value of Everything: E120. Professor Steve Keen Interview- The Future of Money

Apr 7, 2017

Professor Steve Keen and Charles Owen discuss Ages of Discord (segment starts at 47:18)

The Value of EverythingStructural-Demographic Theory

The Forum (BBC): Hierarchy

MediaPodcast
External
Dec 13, 2014

The principle of top down hierarchy seems extraordinarily resilient in human societies. But why have we come to organise ourselves this way? Is it to be more efficient and effective?…

BBC

The Philosophy of Russell Brand

MediaPodcast
External
Feb 9, 2014

BBC Radio 4 Analysis program interviews me, among others, in this piece on “anarcho-populism.”

BBC Radio