Peer-Reviewed Journals
Daniel Hoyer, James S. Bennett, et al.
Navigating polycrisis: long-run socio-cultural factors shape response to changing climate
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B (2023).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Georg Orlandi , Daniel Hoyer, et al.
Structural-demographic analysis of the Qing Dynasty (1644–1912) collapse in China
PLOS ONE (2023).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Harvey Whitehouse, et al.
Explaining the rise of moralizing religions: a test of competing hypotheses using the Seshat Databank
Religion, Brain & Behavior (2022).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Harvey Whitehouse, et al.
Big Gods and big science: further reflections on theory, data, and analysis
Religion, Brain & Behavior (2022).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Turchin, P., et al.
Tempo and Mode in Cultural Macroevolution
Evolutionary Psychology (2021).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Daniel Hoyer , et al.
Rise of the war machines: Charting the evolution of military technologies from the Neolithic to the Industrial Revolution
PLOS ONE (2021).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Harvey Whitehouse, Pieter François, et al.
Testing the Big Gods hypothesis with global historical data: a review and “retake”
Religion, Brain & Behavior (2021).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Turchin, P., et al.
An integrative approach to estimating productivity in past societies using Seshat: Global History Databank
The Holocene (2021).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Whitehouse, H., et al.
A New Era in the Study of Global History Is Born but It Needs to Be Nurtured
Journal of Cognitive Historiography (2020).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Turchin, P., et al.
An Introduction to Seshat
Journal of Cognitive Historiography (2020).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin ,Andrey Korotayev
The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment
PLOS ONE (2020).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Turchin, P.; Hoyer, et al.
The Equinox2020 Seshat Data Release
Cliodynamics (2020).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Nina Witoszek, et al.
A History of Possible Futures: Multipath Forecasting of Social Breakdown, Recovery, and Resilience
Cliodynamics (2018).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Mullins, D. A., et al.
A Systematic Assessment of “Axial Age” Proposals Using Global Comparative Historical Evidence
American Sociological Review (2018).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter N. Peregrine, Rob Brennan, et al.
Dacura: A new solution to data harvesting and knowledge extraction for the historical sciences
Historical Methods (2018).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Translating Knowledge about Past Societies into Seshat Data
Cliodynamics (2018).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Fitting Dynamic Regression Models to Seshat Data
Cliodynamics (2018).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Sergey Gavrilets, et al.
Linking “Micro” to “Macro” Models of State Breakdown to Improve Methods for Political Forecasting
Cliodynamics (2017).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Thomas E. Currie, et al.
Mapping the Spread of Mounted Warfare
Cliodynamics (2016).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Thomas E. Currie
Cultural group selection is plausible, but the predictions of its hypotheses should be tested with real-world data
Behavioral and Brain Sci (2016).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Rob Brennan, et al.
Seshat: The Global History Databank
Cliodynamics (2015).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Thomas E. Currie, Amy Bogaard, et al.
Agricultural productivity in past societies: Toward an empirically informed model for testing cultural evolutionary hypotheses
Cliodynamics (2015).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Harvey Whitehouse, Pieter François, et al.
The Role of Ritual in the Evolution of Social Complexity: Five Predictions and a Drum Roll
Cliodynamics (2015).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
The SESHAT Databank Project: the 2014 Report
Cliodynamics (2014).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Cultural Evolution and Cliodynamics
Cliodynamics (2014).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability
Cliodynamics (2013).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
The West and the Rest: The Science of the Great Divergence
Cliodynamics (2013).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Religion and empire in the Axial Age
Religion, Brain & Behavior (2012).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Dynamics of political instability in the United States, 1780–2010
Journal of Peace Research (2012).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Turchin, Peter;Whitehouse, et al.
A Historical Database of Sociocultural Evolution
Cliodynamics (2012).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Social Tipping Points and Trend Reversals – A Historical Approach
Vestnik Moskovkogo Universiteta, Series XXVII Globalistika (2011).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Ilia Peiros, et al.
Analyzing Genetic Connections between Languages by Matching Consonant Classes
Journal of Language Relationship (2010).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Warfare and the Evolution of Social Complexity: A Multilevel-Selection Approach
Structure and Dynamics (2010).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Gavrilets, Sergey;Anderson, et al.
Cycling in the Complexity of Early Societies
Cliodynamics (2010).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Sergey Gavrilets
Evolution of Complex Hierarchical Societies
Social Evolution & History (2009).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
A theory for formation of large empires
Journal Of Global History (2009).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Long-Term Population Cycles in Human Societies
The Year in Ecology and Conservation Biology 2009 (2009).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Andrey Korotayev
Population Dynamics and Internal Warfare: A Reconsideration
Social Evolution and History (2006).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Jonathan M. Adams, et al.
East-West Orientation of Historical Empires and Modern States
Journal of World-Systems Research (2006).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Response to Oscillations in Population Sizes – From Ecology to History
Structure and Dynamics (2005).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
A Primer on Statistical Analysis of Dynamical Systems in Historical Social Sciences (with a Particular Emphasis on Secular Cycles)
Structure and Dynamics (2005).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Dynamical Feedbacks between Population Growth and Sociopolitical Instability in Agrarian States
Structure and Dynamics (2005).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Does population ecology have general laws?
Oikos (2003).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Thomas D. Hall
Spatial Synchrony Among and Within World-Systems: Insights From Theoretical Ecology
Journal of Worlds-Systems Research (2003).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Stephen P. Ellner
Living on the Edge of Chaos: Population Dynamics of Fennoscandian Voles
Ecology (2000).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin
Fractal Analyses of Animal Movement: A Critique
Ecology (1996).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Ilkka Hanski
An Empirically Based Model for Latitudinal Gradient in Vole Population Dynamics
American Naturalist (1996).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Stephen Ellner, Peter Turchin
Chaos in a Noisy World: New Methods and Evidence from Time-Series Analysis
American Naturalist (1995).
Peer-Reviewed Journals
Peter Turchin, Andrew D. Taylor
Complex Dynamics in Ecological Time Series
Ecology (1992).