Complexity scientist · Author · Founder of cliodynamics
Peter Turchin
Peter Turchin is a complexity scientist who works in the field of historical social science that he and his colleagues call: Cliodynamics
Research
Research on long-term social change
Peter Turchin examines how large-scale societies form, remain cohesive, and enter periods of instability. The research draws on mathematical models and comparative historical data, including the Seshat Global History Databank.
Topics
01Ongoing ResearchCurrent Research ProjectsCurrent work on social complexity, cooperation, resilience, and comparative historical data.02Research FieldCliodynamicsThe study of long-term historical change using explicit theory, quantitative evidence, and formal models.03Research FrameworkStructural-Demographic TheoryA framework connecting popular well-being, elite competition, state capacity, and political instability.
Latest Work
Recent publications, books, essays, lectures, scholarly reviews, Substack posts, and media appearances.
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