Welcome to the “End Times”: Peter Turchin saw this coming — and says we can still prevent collapse

Intro:

Scientist Peter Turchin is interviewed by Paul Rosenberg for Salon, where he delves into the science of “cliodynamics” and how it informed his accurate prediction of the 2020s political instability. Turchin shares his observations on the decline in average well-being and an increase in the number of societal elites as indicators of looming crises. Drawing on the cyclical patterns of history and dynamics between the state, citizens, and the elites, Turchin provides a comprehensive understanding of the societal challenges we face today. Despite the seemingly inevitable deterioration, he offers a glimmer of hope, stating that understanding these historical patterns could help us avert the worst outcomes.