Complex dynamics don’t need to have complex causes

Hanna Stähle Philea January 24, 2024 Link


“Most of the time, something dire happens, but there is no such thing as a ‘typical collapse’. Like Tolstoy’s Anna Karenina: every unhappy family is unhappy in their own way, and every collapse is actually a collapse in a different way”, says Peter Turchin, complexity scientist and author of “The End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites and the Path of Political Disintegration” in an interview with Hanna Stähle, Philea’s Head of Foresight and Innovation, discussing the causes of crises past and present, and the importance of better forecasting them in the future.

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