Big Histories for the Big Future

Francis Fukuyama New York Times July 18, 2023 Link


In “The Fourth Turning Is Here” and “End Times,” the historian Neil Howe and the social scientist Peter Turchin use generational analysis and Big Data to predict the crises to come.

Over the past decade, many Americans have developed a deep foreboding that their society has fallen into crisis.

Against this background we have the publications of Neil Howe’s “The Fourth Turning Is Here” and Peter Turchin’s “End Times.” Both books affirm the idea that we are in the midst of a major crisis and use history to predict how the crisis might be resolved. Both authors had predicted, by a decade or more, that a period of great crisis would arrive around 2020, though neither foresaw a pandemic.

  1. Home
  2. /
  3. Press
  4. /
  5. Big Histories for the...

© Peter Turchin 2023 All rights reserved

Privacy Policy