Academic predicts society will collapse in 2020s

The Express Tribune January 9, 2017 Link


A ‘mathematical historian’ has predicted that social unrest and political instability will cause the world to end in the 2020s.

An academic from University of Connecticut’s department of ecology and evolutionary biology; Professor Peter Turchin’s prediction is based on cliodynamics; a research method combining mathematics and complexity science to predict historical events, such as the growth and collapse of empires or religion.

“We should expect many years of political turmoil, peaking in the 2020s,” professor Turchin wrote on The academic explained, “Elite overproduction generally leads to more intra-elite competition that gradually undermines the spirit of cooperation, which is followed by ideological polarisation and fragmentation of the political class.”

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